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Sell-off following US/China deal looks overdone

On 9-10 October 2025, in response to what it saw as trade provocation from the US, China broadened its rare-earth export controls, expanding restrictions on a number of materials and technologies. The US response was immediate and, by mid-October, the…

Read MoreSell-off following US/China deal looks overdone
  • Matt Fernley
  • December 16, 2025
  • Lithium

The USA Strategic Lithium Reserve

Read the full white paper (PDF): A Modern SPR for the Lithium Age Stabilizing Price Volatility from China-Dominated Oversupply A U.S. Strategic Lithium Reserve—modeled on the Strategic Petroleum Reserve—can stabilize extreme lithium price volatility, counter China’s dominance of chemical conversion,…

Read MoreThe USA Strategic Lithium Reserve
  • Howard Klein
  • December 8, 2025
  • Lithium

Lithium: What’s the right number?

It’s been an exciting two weeks in the lithium market, with the second price spike this year and a number of brokers seeming to start to catch up with the huge growth in ESS installations and to adjust their demand…

Read MoreLithium: What’s the right number?
  • Matt Fernley
  • November 26, 2025
  • Silver

Silver: Warming up for a new supercycle

If you’re not in silver, why not? First up I should say that for most of my career, I’ve been wary about investing in precious metals. I’ve always preferred materials where I could forecast demand and that hasn’t been precious…

Read MoreSilver: Warming up for a new supercycle
  • Matt Fernley
  • October 30, 2025
  • Lithium

More realistic solar installation forecasts – What does it mean for BESS and Lithium? (Part 4)

In Part 1 of this Series I explained why I think current solar installation forecasts from big groups like IEA and BNEF are overly conservative. I flagged how these forecasts being overly conservative don’t just impact the solar industry, but…

Read MoreMore realistic solar installation forecasts – What does it mean for BESS and Lithium? (Part 4)
  • Matt Fernley
  • October 23, 2025
  • Minor Metals

More realistic solar installation forecasts: What does it mean for silver and antimony? (Part 3)

In Part 1 of this Series I explained why I think current solar installation forecasts from big groups like IEA and BNEF are overly conservative. I flagged how these forecasts being overly conservative doesn’t just impact the solar industry, but…

Read MoreMore realistic solar installation forecasts: What does it mean for silver and antimony? (Part 3)
  • Matt Fernley
  • October 10, 2025
  • Base metals

More realistic solar installation forecasts: What does it mean for Cu and Al? (Part 2)

In Part 1 of this Series I explained why I think current solar installation forecasts from big groups like IEA and BNEF are overly conservative. I flagged how these forecasts being overly conservative don’t just impact the solar industry but…

Read MoreMore realistic solar installation forecasts: What does it mean for Cu and Al? (Part 2)
  • Matt Fernley
  • October 6, 2025
  • Base metalsLithiumMinor Metals

What could more realistic solar installation forecasts mean? (Part 1)

It’s a big bugbear for me that renewables analysts are so conservative on their forecasts for solar installations. I mean how can you allow yourself to make the same mistake for nearly five years in a row? For full disclosure…

Read MoreWhat could more realistic solar installation forecasts mean? (Part 1)
  • Matt Fernley
  • September 30, 2025
  • LithiumMinor MetalsRare Earths

Changes to China mining and industrial legislation could impact sector

The past few months have seen some quiet changes to the way that China is doing business in critical raw materials, particularly within China itself. In June an amendment to China’s unfair-competition framework came in, aimed at curbing price wars,…

Read MoreChanges to China mining and industrial legislation could impact sector
  • Matt Fernley
  • September 19, 2025
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