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More realistic solar installation forecasts: What does it mean for silver and antimony? (Part 3)

In Part 1 of this Series I explained why I think current solar installation forecasts from big groups like IEA and BNEF are overly conservative. I flagged how these forecasts being overly conservative doesn’t just impact the solar industry, but…

Read MoreMore realistic solar installation forecasts: What does it mean for silver and antimony? (Part 3)
  • Matt Fernley
  • October 10, 2025
  • Base metals

More realistic solar installation forecasts: What does it mean for Cu and Al? (Part 2)

In Part 1 of this Series I explained why I think current solar installation forecasts from big groups like IEA and BNEF are overly conservative. I flagged how these forecasts being overly conservative don’t just impact the solar industry but…

Read MoreMore realistic solar installation forecasts: What does it mean for Cu and Al? (Part 2)
  • Matt Fernley
  • October 6, 2025
  • Base metalsLithiumMinor Metals

What could more realistic solar installation forecasts mean? (Part 1)

It’s a big bugbear for me that renewables analysts are so conservative on their forecasts for solar installations. I mean how can you allow yourself to make the same mistake for nearly five years in a row? For full disclosure…

Read MoreWhat could more realistic solar installation forecasts mean? (Part 1)
  • Matt Fernley
  • September 30, 2025
  • LithiumMinor MetalsRare Earths

Changes to China mining and industrial legislation could impact sector

The past few months have seen some quiet changes to the way that China is doing business in critical raw materials, particularly within China itself. In June an amendment to China’s unfair-competition framework came in, aimed at curbing price wars,…

Read MoreChanges to China mining and industrial legislation could impact sector
  • Matt Fernley
  • September 19, 2025
  • Base metals

Is it time for the aluminium/copper ratio to revert?

It may be difficult to believe now but once, long ago, aluminium was the darling of commodity markets! When I started my career as a commodity analyst in the early-2000s aluminium was king. At that time the European and North…

Read MoreIs it time for the aluminium/copper ratio to revert?
  • Matt Fernley
  • September 15, 2025
  • Rare EarthsRock Stock University

Valuing Rare Earth Development stocks: A Guide

With the changes to the Chinese export licencing regulations, the drop in Chinese exports and the resulting shortage of Rare Earths (REEs) in Western markets, and the US government’s deal with MP Materials, the Rare Earth mining sector has been…

Read MoreValuing Rare Earth Development stocks: A Guide
  • Matt Fernley
  • September 10, 2025
  • Lithium

Lithium Brine stocks look undervalued vs Hard Rock

Suggesting that Lithium Brine stocks are undervalued vs Hard Rock is quite a statement when practically all lithium stocks look undervalued at the moment, despite the spike in share prices since mid-June! The chart below highlights the magnitude to which…

Read MoreLithium Brine stocks look undervalued vs Hard Rock
  • Matt Fernley
  • September 4, 2025
  • LithiumRock Stock University

Why do we care about DMS vs Flotation in lithium mining projects?

Q2 Metals (TSXV:QTWO) recently released initial metallurgical test results for samples from its Cisco lithium project in Quebec. The results seem to suggest that the orebody will support DMS-only processing without the need to build a separate flotation circuit. That’s…

Read MoreWhy do we care about DMS vs Flotation in lithium mining projects?
  • Matt Fernley
  • August 22, 2025
  • Minor Metals

Minor Metals. Major Equity Upside

Who will be the winners and losers from the Age of Electricity (AoE)? Many investors believe that the AoE supercycle, like the fixed asset investment-led China supercycle event at the start of this century, is going to be positive for…

Read MoreMinor Metals. Major Equity Upside
  • Matt Fernley
  • August 18, 2025

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